Statistics Profile

Ali Rahman

2011

Fresno Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1256	1088 - 1423	1256	2021
Épée	Direct elimination	1673	1496 - 1849	1667	2761
Foil	Pool	758	83 - 1432	758	901
Foil	Direct elimination	1882	634 - 3129	1882	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.