Statistics Profile

Isabella Thomas

2008

Precision Swordcraft Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1168	244 - 2091	1168	2168
Épée	Direct elimination	2097	1014 - 3179	2097	3069
Foil	Pool	1202	932 - 1471	838	1202
Foil	Direct elimination	1376	906 - 1845	1124	1490

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.