Statistics Profile

Elizabeth Lawless

2004

College of William & Mary Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2023	1016 - 3029	2023	2301
Épée	Direct elimination	2296	1220 - 3371	2296	2448
Saber	Pool	1795	1146 - 2443	1574	2219
Saber	Direct elimination	2195	1198 - 3191	2195	3153

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.