Statistics Profile

Jacob Jurkech

2007

Wallingford-Swarthmore Panthers

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1422	1161 - 1682	1422	1983
Épée	Direct elimination	1809	1292 - 2325	1809	2238
Saber	Pool	1081	541 - 1620	1081	1285
Saber	Direct elimination	1203	189 - 2216	1203	1517

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.