Statistics Profile

Waylon Plummer

2012

Fencers Club Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2053	1879 - 2226	1298	2069
Foil	Direct elimination	2055	1888 - 2221	1509	2126
Saber	Pool	1026	72 - 1979	1026	1026
Saber	Direct elimination	1558	327 - 2788	1558	1558

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.