Statistics Profile

Adelaide Perry

2007

Rochester Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	757	0 - 1521	757	995
Épée	Direct elimination	1816	882 - 2749	1816	2117
Foil	Pool	2135	1261 - 3008	2135	2135
Foil	Direct elimination	2336	1223 - 3448	2336	2336

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.