Statistics Profile

Julia Harris

2011

V Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2372	2203 - 2540	1743	2372
Foil	Direct elimination	2429	2260 - 2597	1804	2429
Saber	Pool	2470	1962 - 2977	2470	3184
Saber	Direct elimination	2457	1893 - 3020	2031	2630

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.