Statistics Profile

Hugh Higgason

2007

Rockland Fencers Club Top Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1566	1378 - 1753	1512	1937
Épée	Direct elimination	1659	1294 - 2023	1503	1948
Foil	Pool	1510	1316 - 1703	882	1510
Foil	Direct elimination	1677	1376 - 1977	1391	2299

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.