Statistics Profile

Darcy Clarke

2008

Tim Morehouse Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1337	709 - 1964	1337	1810
Épée	Direct elimination	1597	520 - 2673	1597	1801
Saber	Pool	1619	1055 - 2182	1619	1720
Saber	Direct elimination	1947	681 - 3212	1947	1947

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.