Statistics Profile

Nathan Luna

2006

Still Point Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1739	1192 - 2285	1739	2437
Épée	Direct elimination	2399	1695 - 3102	2041	2399
Foil	Pool	1215	696 - 1733	962	1215
Foil	Direct elimination	1539	488 - 2589	1539	2097

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.