Statistics Profile

Michael Niechwadowicz

2004

Masters Fencing Academy NJ

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2112	1256 - 2967	2112	2112
Épée	Direct elimination	2140	1136 - 3143	2140	2140
Foil	Pool	1673	1502 - 1843	1304	3106
Foil	Direct elimination	1825	1642 - 2007	1167	2034

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.