Statistics Profile

Nadia Shebl

2009

The Fencers Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1141	959 - 1322	1107	1424
Foil	Direct elimination	1384	1093 - 1674	1344	1705
Saber	Pool	2226	1547 - 2904	2226	2586
Saber	Direct elimination	1200	174 - 2225	1200	1485

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.