Statistics Profile

Nykolas Mackevicius

2001

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1504	1299 - 1708	1395	1799
Épée	Direct elimination	1654	1301 - 2006	969	1789
Foil	Pool	997	517 - 1476	749	997
Foil	Direct elimination	1389	464 - 2313	1389	1814
Saber	Pool	1099	152 - 2045	1099	1099

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.