Statistics Profile

Reese Lofgren

2001

University of Georgia Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1787	924 - 2649	1787	1787
Épée	Direct elimination	2124	961 - 3286	2124	2124
Saber	Pool	1491	1068 - 1913	1350	1717
Saber	Direct elimination	1326	339 - 2312	1326	1927

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.