Statistics Profile

Carson Minter

2001

Miami University Fencing Ohio

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1294	550 - 2037	1294	1294
Épée	Direct elimination	2142	1142 - 3141	2142	2142
Foil	Pool	991	355 - 1626	991	1491
Foil	Direct elimination	1923	1018 - 2827	1780	1926

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.