Statistics Profile

Catherine Campbell

2004

Baylor School

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2265	1741 - 2788	2006	2533
Épée	Direct elimination	2215	1655 - 2774	2008	2569
Foil	Pool	1418	767 - 2068	1418	2079
Foil	Direct elimination	1593	491 - 2694	1593	1931

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.