Statistics Profile

Tina Zheng

2004

Baylor School

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3054	2132 - 3975	3054	3232
Épée	Direct elimination	3677	2779 - 4574	3510	3677
Foil	Pool	2221	1536 - 2905	2185	2297
Foil	Direct elimination	2128	1217 - 3038	2128	2431

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.