Statistics Profile

Alexiy Holmes

2010

Fencing Academy Of Westchester

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1747	1579 - 1914	1256	1886
Foil	Direct elimination	1955	1779 - 2130	1187	1971
Saber	Pool	1121	240 - 2001	1121	1121
Saber	Direct elimination	1756	551 - 2960	1756	1756

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.