Statistics Profile

Jacob Pullman

2001

Michigan State University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1306	386 - 2225	1306	1306
Épée	Direct elimination	1739	523 - 2954	1739	1739
Foil	Pool	1319	342 - 2295	1319	1319
Foil	Direct elimination	1622	437 - 2806	1622	1622
Saber	Pool	818	158 - 1477	818	1147
Saber	Direct elimination	2117	1078 - 3155	1832	2117

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.