Statistics Profile

Bowen Zhao

2006

The Fencers Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2141	1970 - 2311	1421	2223
Foil	Direct elimination	2169	1981 - 2356	1468	2230
Saber	Pool	1555	1272 - 1837	1094	1981
Saber	Direct elimination	1904	1389 - 2418	1904	3299

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.