Statistics Profile

Thomas Nuss

2010

Lincoln Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	910	453 - 1366	910	1428
Épée	Direct elimination	1758	775 - 2740	1719	1758
Foil	Pool	1462	1107 - 1816	888	1462
Foil	Direct elimination	2077	1465 - 2688	1404	2077
Saber	Pool	1198	584 - 1811	1198	1198
Saber	Direct elimination	1855	862 - 2847	1855	1855

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.