Statistics Profile

Joel Hecht

2003

Drexel University Fencing Club Delaware Valley Fencers Club-PA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2087	1399 - 2774	2087	2087
Épée	Direct elimination	1752	494 - 3009	1752	1752
Foil	Pool	1646	1427 - 1864	1598	2004
Foil	Direct elimination	1943	1628 - 2257	1826	2309

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.