Statistics Profile

Emily Zahran

2011

Epee Miami Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1582	1303 - 1860	1121	1582
Épée	Direct elimination	1817	1368 - 2265	1817	2016
Foil	Pool	1318	1143 - 1492	1073	1694
Foil	Direct elimination	1619	1362 - 1875	1601	2076

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.