Paige Lay

2012

Win/Loss Statistics

2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 Before 2021 All Time
Victories - - 32 2 3 37
Losses - - 34 6 5 45
Win Ratio - - 48.5% 25.0% 37.5% 45.1%
Pool Victories - - 21 2 3 26
Pool Losses - - 24 5 4 33
Pool Win Ratio - - 46.7% 28.6% 42.9% 44.1%
DE Victories - - 11 - - 11
DE Losses - - 10 1 1 12
DE Win Ratio - - 52.4% 0.0% 0.0% 47.8%

Note: Seasons start on August 1st and end on July 31st.

Scores

2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 Before 2021 All Time
Easy wins† - - 13 - 2 15
Easy wins as % of wins - - 40.6% 0.0% 66.7% 40.5%
Close wins‡ - - 7 1 - 8
Close wins as % of all wins - - 21.9% 50.0% 0.0% 21.6%
Close losses‡ - - 12 - - 12
Close losses as % of all losses - - 35.3% 0.0% 0.0% 26.7%
Big losses† - - 7 3 2 12
Big losses as % of all losses - - 20.6% 50.0% 40.0% 26.7%

† Easy victories or big losses are those with the score difference of 4 or more touches in a pool, 7 or more touches in direct elimination, and 5 or more in veteran and youth direct elimination.
‡ Close bouts are those with the score difference of 1 or fewer touches in a pool, 3 or fewer touches in direct elimination, or 2 or fewer touches in veteran or youth direct elimination.

Bouts with Time Expired

2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 Before 2021 All Time
Victories - - 1 - - 1
Victories as % of all victories - - 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 2.7%
Losses - - 1 - - 1
Losses as % of all losses - - 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 2.2%
Total - - 2 - - 2
Total as % of all bouts - - 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.4%

Events

2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 Before 2021 All Time
Events - - 10 1 1 12
Tournaments - - 5 1 1 7

Competition History

AAU SWORD MASTERS CUP 22 "X-MAS CHEER" (4 of 4)

Y-12 Women's Épée (U, Y12), December 17, 2022
Place 6 of 7, Seed 1, Not ranked, Rating E22, Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 ZHENG Anita 4 U 1 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool L 3:5 BREUN Isabelle 3 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 5:1 SULLIVAN Loni 6 U 5 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool L 4:5 ORLICK Gianna 5 U 3 Sword Masters Club Melbourne
Pool L 3:5 FINE Elizabeth 2 U 2 Sword Masters Club Melbourne
T8 L 14:15 BREUN Isabelle 3 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando

AAU SWORD MASTERS CUP 22 "X-MAS CHEER" (4 of 4)

Y-10 Women's Épée (U, Y10), December 17, 2022
Place 2 of 7, Seed 1, Not ranked, Rating E22, Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:0 WILSON Eva 2 U 7 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool L 4:5 BREUN Isabelle 3 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 5:2 NEELEY Paityn 5 U 5 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 5:2 BOBE Arianna 7 U 6 Tampa Fencing & Tennis Academy
Pool L 3:5 QIANG Yuan 6 U 3 Tampa Fencing & Tennis Academy 824 637 54.8 40%
Pool L 2:5 CHOI Arianna 4 U 1 Sword Masters Melbourne 1178 582 29.2 19%
T8 W 10:5 BOBE Arianna 7 U 6 Tampa Fencing & Tennis Academy
T4 W 10:8 QIANG Yuan 6 U 3 Tampa Fencing & Tennis Academy 1743 1251 244.7 30%
T2 L 1:10 CHOI Arianna 4 U 1 Sword Masters Melbourne 1547 1496 157.7 48%

AAU SWORD MASTERS CUP 22 "The Golden Turkey"(3of4)

Y-10 Women's Épée (U, Y10), November 26, 2022
Place 3 of 5, Seed 2, Not ranked, Rating E22, Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:0 WILSON Eva 5 U 5 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool L 0:5 CARCELLER Bernardita 1 D22 1 Epee Miami Fencing Club 1130 753 52.9 28%
Pool W 5:3 BREUN Isabelle 4 U 2 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool L 4:5 QIANG Yuan 3 U 3 Tampa Fencing & Tennis Academy 771 700 62.7 46%
T4 L 7:10 BREUN Isabelle 4 U 2 Sword Masters Club, Orlando

AAU SWORD MASTERS CUP 22 "The Golden Turkey"(3of4)

Y-12 Women's Épée (U, Y12), November 26, 2022
Place 2 of 5, Seed 1, Not ranked, Rating E22, Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 FINE Elizabeth 2 U 1 Sword Masters Club Melbourne
Pool L 4:5 SULLIVAN Loni 3 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool L 3:5 BREUN Isabelle 4 U 5 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool L 3:5 ORLICK Gianna 5 U 3 Sword Masters Club Melbourne
T8 W 15:7 BREUN Isabelle 4 U 5 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
T4 W 15:14 SULLIVAN Loni 3 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
T2 L 6:15 FINE Elizabeth 2 U 1 Sword Masters Club Melbourne

AAU SWORD MASTERS CUP 22 "October Clash" (2 of 4)

Y-10 Women's Épée (U, Y10), October 29, 2022
Place 3 of 6, Seed 2, Not ranked, Rating E22, Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 BREUN Isabelle 1 E22 1 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 5:1 QIANG Yuan 3 U 3 Tampa Fencing & Tennis Academy 2500 589 163.2 4%
Pool W 5:2 WILSON Eva 4 U 6 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 5:3 NEELEY Paityn 6 U 2 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 5:0 BOBE Arianna 5 U 5 Tampa Fencing & Tennis Academy
T4 L 9:10 NEELEY Paityn 6 U 2 Sword Masters Club, Orlando

AAU SWORD MASTERS CUP 22 "October Clash" (2 of 4)

Y-12 Women's Épée (U, Y12), October 29, 2022
Place 2 of 7, Seed 1, Not ranked, Rating E22, Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 BREUN Isabelle 2 E22 5 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 5:1 MCGILL Madison 3 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 5:3 SULLIVAN Loni 6 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 5:3 ORLICK Gianna 7 U 6 Sword Masters Club Melbourne
Pool W 5:2 LIN Leia 4 U 7 Tampa Fencing Academy
Pool L 3:5 PINEDA jade luna 5 U 1 Doral Fencing Club 1351 621 32.0 14%
T8 W 15:5 LIN Leia 4 U 7 Tampa Fencing Academy
T4 W 15:12 MCGILL Madison 3 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
T2 L 7:15 PINEDA jade luna 5 U 1 Doral Fencing Club 1666 1456 205.5 40%

AAU SWORD MASTERS CUP 22 "September Clash"(1 of 4)

Y-10 Women's Épée (U, Y10), September 24, 2022
Place 2 of 9, Seed 3, Not ranked, Rating E22, Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:3 NEELEY Paityn 6 U 6 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 5:1 BOBE Arianna 8 U 8 Tampa Fencing & Tennis Academy
Pool W 5:4 CARCELLER Bernardita 2 D22 1 Epee Miami Fencing Club 1159 373 248.9 12%
T8 W 10:1 BOBE Arianna 8 U 8 Tampa Fencing & Tennis Academy
T4 W 10:2 BREUN Isabelle 7 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
T2 L 9:10 CARCELLER Bernardita 2 D22 1 Epee Miami Fencing Club 1977 1716 259.4 38%

AAU SWORD MASTERS CUP 22 "September Clash"(1 of 4)

Y-12 Women's Épée (U, Y12), September 24, 2022
Place 2 of 8, Seed 2, Not ranked, Rating E22, Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:3 SULLIVAN Loni 6 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 5:3 MCGILL Madison 3 U 7 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool L 4:5 ORLICK Gianna 7 U 3 Sword Masters Club Melbourne
T8 W 15:14 MCGILL Madison 3 U 7 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
T4 W 15:11 ORLICK Gianna 7 U 3 Sword Masters Club Melbourne
T2 L 8:15 CARCELLER Bernardita 1 D22 1 Epee Miami Fencing Club 1942 2500 784.2 70%

AAU Junior Olympic Games 2022 REGISTRATION

Y-12 Women's Épée (U, Y12), August 2, 2022
Place 8 of 12, Seed 4, Not ranked, Rating U, Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 BURCH Olivia 8 U 12 Sword Masters Club, Orlando 830 580 116.8 37%
Pool L 2:5 BRETON Lailah 12 U 5 Sword Masters Club, Orlando 1173 463 50.4 16%
Pool L 1:5 MARTINEZ Christina 9 U 3 Epee Miami Fencing Club 1437 413 23.2 7%
Pool L 3:5 HILBY Olivia 1 U 1 Sword Masters Club Melbourne
Pool L 2:5 FLITMAN Gabrielle 5 U 2 Tampa Fencing Academy / (none) 1509 390 17.2 5%
T16 W 15:13 MURPHY Eleanor 6 U 9 Sword Masters Club Melbourne
T8 L 8:15 HILBY Olivia 1 U 1 Sword Masters Club Melbourne

AAU Junior Olympic Games 2022 REGISTRATION

Y-10 Women's Épée (U, Y10), August 1, 2022
Place 6 of 10, Seed 9, Not ranked, Rating U, Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:4 BREUN Isabelle 5 U 5 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 3:2 SAKATA Jamie 2 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool L 3:5 FELL Bethany 4 U 7 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 5:1 NEELEY Paityn 1 U 8 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
T8 L 9:10 SAKATA Jamie 2 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando

SUNSHINE STATE GAMES 2022

Y-10 Women's Épée (U, Y10), June 26, 2022
Place 6 of 8, Seed 2, Not ranked, Rating U, Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 CHOI Arianna 3 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool L 2:5 ZHENG Anita 6 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool L 1:5 BRETON Lailah 4 U 2 Sword Masters Club, Orlando 968 876 200.7 45%
Pool L 2:5 FELL Bethany 1 U 7
Pool W 5:3 BREUN Isabelle 5 U 8
Pool W 5:4 ORLICK Gianna 7 U 5 Sword Masters Club Melbourne
Pool L 1:5 CARCELLER Bernardita 8 U 1 Epee Miami Fencing Club 1193 675 95.1 24%
T8 L 5:10 CHOI Arianna 3 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando

THE ORLANDO CHALLENGE SYC & RCC Reg Opens 4/8

Y-8 Mixed Épée (U, Y8), May 30, 2021
Place 6 of 8, Seed 6, Not ranked, Rating U, Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 LOPEZ Rowan 1 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool W 5:0 WANG Gary 5 U 8 Sword Masters Club, Orlando
Pool L 2:5 CARCELLER Bernardita 3 U 5 Epee Miami Fencing Club 1082 2500 1198.9 91%
Pool W 5:1 HEADRICK Liam 8 U 3 Pro Fencing Academy USA, Orlando
Pool W 5:2 FERREIRA DE MELO Martin 4 U 7 Epee Miami Fencing Club
Pool L 1:5 KIM Julian 2 U 1 Elite Fencing Academy / Elite Fencing Academy (VA)
Pool L 1:5 ZHANG Jane 7 U 2 Cavalier Fencing Club 955 1301 425.1 66%
T8 L 7:10 LOPEZ Rowan 1 U 3 Sword Masters Club, Orlando