Statistics Profile

Julie Yu

2011

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1636	1427 - 1844	1636	2471
Épée	Direct elimination	2433	2114 - 2751	2388	2749
Foil	Pool	1426	847 - 2004	1206	1426
Foil	Direct elimination	1790	566 - 3013	1790	1873

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.