Statistics Profile

Arseniy Sokolov

2009

Alle Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1120	278 - 1961	1120	1120
Foil	Direct elimination	1428	239 - 2616	1428	1428
Saber	Pool	1410	1157 - 1662	667	1463
Saber	Direct elimination	1618	1148 - 2087	1160	1618

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.