Statistics Profile

Irene Lee

2010
Cardinal Fencing Club
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1065 655 - 1474 983 1227
Épée Direct elimination 1551 688 - 2413 1551 1651
Foil Pool 915 396 - 1433 915 1197
Foil Direct elimination 1380 316 - 2443 1380 1769
Saber Pool 1666 1490 - 1841 1053 1787
Saber Direct elimination 1723 1441 - 2004 1402 1844

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.