Statistics Profile

Irene Lee

2010

Cardinal Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1065	655 - 1474	982	1227
Épée	Direct elimination	1551	688 - 2413	1551	1651
Foil	Pool	915	396 - 1433	915	1197
Foil	Direct elimination	1380	316 - 2443	1380	1769
Saber	Pool	1666	1490 - 1841	1053	1787
Saber	Direct elimination	1723	1441 - 2004	1402	1844

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.