Statistics Profile

Eric Xia

2007

Bergen Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1077	783 - 1370	933	1183
Foil	Direct elimination	983	192 - 1773	983	1564
Saber	Pool	1770	1596 - 1943	1617	2075
Saber	Direct elimination	1906	1655 - 2156	1784	2263

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.