Statistics Profile

Darby Alvarenga

2000

Foothills Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1467	1101 - 1832	1360	2217
Épée	Direct elimination	1747	940 - 2553	1747	1966
Foil	Pool	1253	391 - 2114	1253	1253
Saber	Pool	1125	320 - 1929	1125	1125
Saber	Direct elimination	1685	420 - 2949	1685	1685

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.