Statistics Profile

Jeffrey Garcia-Cabrera

2005

Hills Fencing Institute

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1988	1817 - 2158	1356	2018
Épée	Direct elimination	2099	1905 - 2292	1070	2110
Saber	Pool	1321	715 - 1926	1321	1455
Saber	Direct elimination	1896	919 - 2872	1712	1896

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.