Statistics Profile

Audrey Nguyen

2005

Olympic Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2406	2232 - 2579	2210	3075
Épée	Direct elimination	2617	2440 - 2793	1755	2779
Foil	Pool	1424	841 - 2006	1422	1424
Foil	Direct elimination	1668	608 - 2727	1668	2004
Saber	Pool	1939	1300 - 2577	1939	1939
Saber	Direct elimination	2373	1249 - 3496	2373	2373

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.