Statistics Profile

Giancarlo Novell

2010

Doral Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1626	1277 - 1974	1626	1869
Foil	Direct elimination	1888	1220 - 2555	1857	2045
Saber	Pool	767	35 - 1498	767	767
Saber	Direct elimination	1358	225 - 2490	1358	1358

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.