Statistics Profile

Ethan Toyofuku

Verified
2009
Olympic Epee Masters

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2132 1963 - 2300 1529 2132
Épée Direct elimination 2414 2235 - 2592 1864 3062
Foil Pool 1830 1658 - 2001 1151 1865
Foil Direct elimination 1977 1794 - 2159 1447 2112
Saber Pool 1472 953 - 1990 1470 1601
Saber Direct elimination 2552 1719 - 3384 2552 3047

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.