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Statistics Profile

Ethan Toyofuku

Verified
2009
Olympic Epee Masters

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2114 1945 - 2282 1529 2114
Épée Direct elimination 2395 2214 - 2575 1864 3062
Foil Pool 1805 1634 - 1975 1151 1865
Foil Direct elimination 1925 1739 - 2110 1447 2112
Saber Pool 1470 899 - 2040 1470 1601
Saber Direct elimination 3047 1996 - 4097 2804 3047

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.