Statistics Profile

Ethan Toyofuku

Verified
2009
Olympic Epee Masters

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2114 1945 - 2282 1529 2114
Épée Direct elimination 2409 2229 - 2588 1864 3062
Foil Pool 1830 1658 - 2001 1151 1865
Foil Direct elimination 1977 1794 - 2159 1447 2112
Saber Pool 1472 953 - 1990 1470 1601
Saber Direct elimination 2552 1719 - 3384 2552 3047

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Register to view this matchup

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Create account Log in

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.