Statistics Profile

Alexandra Waller Del Valle

2006

Alliance Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1888	1713 - 2062	709	1902
Épée	Direct elimination	1920	1661 - 2178	1428	1962
Foil	Pool	1395	1078 - 1711	1049	1395
Foil	Direct elimination	1249	633 - 1864	1141	1636
Saber	Pool	879	265 - 1492	879	952
Saber	Direct elimination	1320	348 - 2291	1320	1362

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.