Statistics Profile

Lars Renlund

2006

Tampa Fencing & Tennis Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1864	1540 - 2187	1864	2059
Épée	Direct elimination	2439	1883 - 2994	2439	2838
Foil	Pool	1910	947 - 2872	1910	2198
Foil	Direct elimination	2258	1135 - 3380	2258	2496

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.