Statistics Profile

Micah Riordan

2005

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1583	1139 - 2026	1222	1583
Épée	Direct elimination	1544	690 - 2397	1544	2079
Foil	Pool	1592	946 - 2237	1592	1877
Foil	Direct elimination	2082	1107 - 3056	2027	2082
Saber	Pool	1161	292 - 2029	1161	1161
Saber	Direct elimination	2246	782 - 3709	2246	2246

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.