Statistics Profile

jason wang

2007

Mid-Island Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	426	0 - 979	426	822
Foil	Direct elimination	1198	403 - 1992	1198	2004
Saber	Pool	1514	1246 - 1781	1505	1813
Saber	Direct elimination	1334	753 - 1914	1334	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.