Statistics Profile

Evelyn Jang

2012

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	792	56 - 1527	792	1208
Épée	Direct elimination	1147	176 - 2117	1147	1619
Foil	Pool	1438	1197 - 1678	1413	2133
Foil	Direct elimination	1801	1417 - 2184	1694	2191
Saber	Pool	988	47 - 1928	988	988

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.