Statistics Profile

Erin Norris

2009

Valkyrie Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1229	977 - 1480	1199	1956
Foil	Direct elimination	1145	603 - 1686	1145	2921
Saber	Pool	1057	458 - 1655	1057	1144
Saber	Direct elimination	1417	275 - 2558	1417	1417

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.