Statistics Profile

Glenn Cagle

1999

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2260	1848 - 2671	1603	2260
Épée	Direct elimination	1936	1025 - 2846	1823	2108
Foil	Pool	1730	1206 - 2253	1730	2328
Foil	Direct elimination	1350	352 - 2347	1350	2048

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.