Statistics Profile

Michael Starr

1968

Abilene Sport Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1674	1460 - 1887	1674	2094
Épée	Direct elimination	1501	986 - 2015	1501	2250
Foil	Pool	2207	1150 - 3263	2207	2207
Foil	Direct elimination	1658	444 - 2871	1658	1658

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.