Statistics Profile

Nick Steinkraus

2002

New Mexico Fencing Foundation Blue Griffin Fencers (Santa Fe Prep)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2304	1537 - 3070	2304	2304
Épée	Direct elimination	1986	705 - 3266	1986	1986
Saber	Pool	2274	1566 - 2981	2274	2274
Saber	Direct elimination	1778	560 - 2995	1778	1778

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.