Statistics Profile

John Dailey

2000

College Of Charleston

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1696	1410 - 1981	1258	1731
Épée	Direct elimination	1887	1483 - 2290	1705	2179
Foil	Pool	919	586 - 1251	919	1631
Foil	Direct elimination	929	142 - 1715	929	1787
Saber	Pool	1379	669 - 2088	1379	1379
Saber	Direct elimination	2112	1068 - 3155	2112	2112

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.