Statistics Profile

Carlton Decker

2001

Edge of America Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1793	1594 - 1991	1756	1985
Épée	Direct elimination	2267	1986 - 2547	2060	2680
Foil	Pool	1960	1173 - 2746	1960	1960
Foil	Direct elimination	1879	848 - 2909	1879	1879

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.