Statistics Profile

Clayton Tomlinson

2005

Manchen Academy Of Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1898	1231 - 2564	1890	1898
Épée	Direct elimination	1894	865 - 2922	1759	1894
Foil	Pool	1739	1507 - 1970	1436	1959
Foil	Direct elimination	1759	1406 - 2111	1496	2525

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.