Statistics Profile

Dylan Leung

2011

Maximum Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1780	1614 - 1945	762	1780
Épée	Direct elimination	1918	1749 - 2086	1165	2034
Saber	Pool	640	26 - 1253	640	830
Saber	Direct elimination	1451	366 - 2535	1451	1595

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.