Statistics Profile

Noah Dailey

2009

Vivo Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1455	884 - 2025	1455	2816
Épée	Direct elimination	1538	786 - 2289	1538	1879
Foil	Pool	1007	727 - 1286	981	1299
Foil	Direct elimination	1086	477 - 1694	1086	1766

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.