Statistics Profile

Jaden Reese Vergara (Jaden)

2007

Greensboro Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1684	1353 - 2014	1551	1851
Épée	Direct elimination	2070	1448 - 2691	1812	2248
Foil	Pool	1673	1494 - 1851	1274	2044
Foil	Direct elimination	1712	1436 - 1987	1536	1931
Saber	Pool	1861	1025 - 2696	1861	2055
Saber	Direct elimination	1642	460 - 2823	1642	1793

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.