Statistics Profile

Jaden Reese Vergara (Jaden)

2007
Greensboro Fencing Academy
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1684 1353 - 2014 1552 1851
Épée Direct elimination 2070 1448 - 2691 1812 2248
Foil Pool 1673 1494 - 1851 1274 2044
Foil Direct elimination 1712 1436 - 1987 1536 1931
Saber Pool 1861 1025 - 2696 1861 2055
Saber Direct elimination 1642 460 - 2823 1642 1793

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.