Statistics Profile

joachim creten

1962

Oregon Fencing Alliance

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1167	916 - 1417	1142	2764
Épée	Direct elimination	1526	1039 - 2012	1423	2168
Foil	Pool	1285	522 - 2047	1285	1285
Foil	Direct elimination	1764	553 - 2974	1764	1764
Saber	Pool	1956	1788 - 2123	1706	2037
Saber	Direct elimination	2126	1925 - 2326	1569	2468

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.