Statistics Profile

Wayne w Morales (William)

1967

USA Fencing National Office

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1092	714 - 1469	1027	1306
Épée	Direct elimination	1703	988 - 2417	1471	2248
Foil	Pool	1464	1247 - 1680	1261	1729
Foil	Direct elimination	1802	1385 - 2218	1622	2207

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.